Hackerspace - STEMspace Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. This entire site is a private effort of free information. There are no cookies or adverts, and nothing for sale. Alert! All content is moving here: https://neilrieck.net/
CO2 varied between 180 and 280 ppm
every 120K years
Current Items of Interest
Rewind: Military Disasters & the End of Empire
Historian Alfred McCoy on the history of imperial misadventures, and how defeat in the Iran War will accelerate U.S. global decline. https://consortiumnews.com/2026/04/23/military-disasters-the-end-of-empire/ quote: Writing more than 2,000 years ago, the Greek historian Plutarch gave us an eloquent description of what modern historians now call
“micro-militarism.” When an imperial power like Athens then, or America now, is in decline, its leaders often react emotionally by mounting seemingly bold
military strikes in hopes of regaining the imperial grandeur that’s slipping through their fingers. Instead of another of the great victories the empire won at
its peak of power, however, such military misadventures only serve to accelerate the ongoing decline, erasing whatever aura of imperial majesty remains and
revealing instead the moral rot deep inside the ruling elite.
SCIENCE: What was science like in America 250 years ago? https://www.sciencefriday.com/segments/early-american-science-250-years-ago/
(audio: 29:5) comment: Yes, science is explicitly mentioned in the United States Constitution. Found in Article I, Section 8, Clause 8 (the Patent and
Copyright Clause), it grants Congress the power:"To promote the Progress of Science and useful Arts, by securing for limited Times to Authors and Inventors the
exclusive Right to their respective Writings and Discoveries. "Historically, the Framers used the word "science" in its broader, Enlightenment-era Latin sense
(derived from scientia, meaning "knowledge" or "learning") rather than just in the modern context of natural or physical sciences.
I recently stumbled uponthis neat quote
regarding one person's thoughts about modern politics:
The whole idea of any kind of union, other than that of a human union for the good of all human beings, is outdated anyway in my view. Politics to me have
always been insane. The fundamental problem with all political systems, is that they are based on the tiny amount of knowledge about our situation that we have
as human beings. comment: I have always found western politics to be divisive, and it appears to becoming more so every decade. I find it refreshing
whenever I trip over others who share my view.
Watch this non-technical A.I. lecture titled Training Sand to Think: Artificial General Intelligence & Future of
Physics (2026-06-23) given at the Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics by a researcher
from Google's DeepMind. video:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mw60FH5iflI - 54 mins comment: My opinion about A.I. technology has shifted from "pessimistic" to "cautiously optimistic". Click here to learn why.
It is often said you cannot truly move forward without understanding the past. The following two documentaries
revisit—and in some cases correct—several long‑held assumptions about events during the end of World-War-2. All western citizens at the time knew that Russia was
our ally, but we now leaned that "some" British and American politicians thought differently.
caveat: These films were produced by RT, a Russian
state‑affiliated outlet, so it should be viewed with appropriate skepticism. Even so, many of the claims draw on newly surfaced British and American archival
material. One example from Film-1, Operation Unthinkable (Britain's plan to
attack their then ally, Russia) stems from a 2021 disclosure reported by The
Telegraph in the UK. Several examples from Film-2 include Pincher
(1946), Broiler (1947), Halfmoon (1948), and Offtakle (1949) which were American war plans to attack Russia. These were shelved when Stalin announced that
the USSR had developed it's own atomic bomb. Both documentaries feature British officials and American historians including Professor Peter Kuznick
Excerpt: from the book Space Chronicles by Neil deGrasse Tyson
Page 10: Some people think emotionally more often than they think politically. Some think politically more than they think rationally. Others never think
rationally about anything at all. It's okay to be entirely rational, provided everybody else is too. But apparently this state of existence has been achieved only
in fiction, as seen amongst the Vulcan race in the perennially popular science-fiction series Star Trek where societal decisions get made with efficiency and
dispatch, devoid of pomp, passion, and pretense. To govern a society shared by people of emotion, people of reason, and everybody in between ― as well as people
who think their actions are shaped by logic but in fact are shaped by feelings or nonempirical philosophies ― you need politics. At its best, politics navigates
all these mind-states for the sake of the greater good, alert to the rocky shoals, of community, identity, and economy. At its worst, politics thrives on the
incomplete disclosure and misrepresentation of data required by an elaborate to make informed decisions, whether arrived at logically or emotionally. On this
landscape we find intractably diverse political views, with no obvious hope of consensus or even convergence.
Page 233: Not only that, the upper quartile of China, the smartest 25 percent, outnumbers the entire population of the United States. You've seen the numbers:
China graduates about half a million scientists and engineers every year; we graduate about seventy thousand, much less than what the ratio of our population
would seem to indicate.
In 1976 author Norman Dixon published On
the Psychology of Military Incompetence which documents numerous failures of the British Empire. Here are his top three errors:
a belief that warfare is about muscles, not minds.
most in charge of the military were anti-intellectual and anti-education.
comments: the three points above seem to describe Pete Hegseth (Secretary of War) and the Trump administration.
The March of Folly is the title of a 1984 book written by Barbara W. Tuchman.
The book describes one of the most compelling paradoxes of history: "the pursuit by governments of policies contrary to their own interests". It details four
major instances of government folly in human history:
The Trojans' decision to move the Greek horse into their city
The failure of the Renaissance popes to address the factors that would lead to the Protestant Reformation in the early sixteenth century
England's policies relating to American colonies under King George III
The United States' mishandling of the conflict in Vietnam
More than half of the book deals with US intervention in the Vietnam War, while the other three case studies are shorter. comments:
In The March of Folly, historian Barbara Tuchman defines "wooden-headedness" as a key driver of governmental folly, characterized by assessing situations
using fixed, preconceived notions while ignoring contradictory signs. It is acting according to wish rather than fact, often resulting in policies contrary to
self-interest
The Guns of August is the title of her 1962 book about the true beginnings of
WW1. It was often mentioned by President John F Kennedy.
I remain confused in 2026 whenever I hear talking heads (on the American news) advocating military aggression against
Iran, which usually mentions the Iranian hostage affair in 1979 as justification
(eg, "the Iranians hate us"). Those talking heads never mention the fact that the CIA
deposed the democratically elected prime minister of Iran, in 1953, then replaced him with the Shah of Iran who engaged in a 25-year bloody rule
over the Iranian people between 1953 and 1978. And that those years of carnage where perceived to be in the name of the USA, even though the USA (united states of
Amnesia) had quickly forgot about it.
Watch this 2024 documentary https://www.jolt.film/watch/the-bibi-files titled "The
Bibi Files" which has mysteriously vanished from all streaming services (contains many videos of Benjamin Netanyahu (and others) being interviewed by
Israeli investigators. Not sure who leaked them to the public. It can also be viewed here: https://tuckercarlson.com/watchthebibifiles
The Nature of Things: The New Human (s51e4) from this 2021 Canadian science program we learn that all western societies
see humans growing 5% taller each century. This seems to happen everywhere except in the USA which are seeing average growth size shrink starting circa 1970.
(1) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NzwgjfSY7sY (login is not required)
(2) https://gem.cbc.ca/the-nature-of-things/s61e4 (login required to watch for free)
Words of wisdom from Isaac Asimov on
the topics of science, religion, over population, the environment, war and other human issues. bio: Isaac Asimov (c. January 2, 1920 – April 6, 1992) was an American writer and professor of biochemistry at Boston University. During
his lifetime, Asimov was considered one of the "Big Three" science fiction writers, along with Robert A. Heinlein and Arthur C. Clarke. A prolific writer, he
wrote or edited more than 500 books. He also wrote an estimated 90,000 letters and postcards. Best known for his hard science fiction, Asimov also wrote mysteries
and fantasy, as well as popular science and other non-fiction. comment: this one hour interview between between Bill Moyers (PBS) and Isaac Asimov occurred in 1988. It is titled "World of Ideas with
Isaac Asimov" parts 1 and 2 quote: In politics, people can commit crimes and still be heroes somehow more: Asimov talks about superstition, religion and why he teaches rationality (1988) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VSxMZBp-2Zs (24:43)
An unlikely alliance builds a cleaner geothermal energy network in a Massachusetts community https://youtu.be/sAxelA0iMw0?si=2qc3aBCio6PAYP7w (2025-10-10) comments: In this PBS News Hour clip I noticed American manufactured ground-source heat pumps from WaterFurnace (I have done some contract
electronics work for them in the past) and ClimateMaster. This uniquely American solution deals with the most expense part of the installation: the ground loop.
A Microsoft Office (and Office 365) alternative has just popped up in Europe. It is called Office EU https://office.eu/
China - USA: Starting in 2017, the first Trump administration explicitly signaled—through words and actions—that the
United States was entering a new Cold War but his time with China. Having experienced the American-instigated Cold War with Russia, I found this announcement
concerning. Since then, I've been seeking insights to better understand the evolving situation and hopefully reduce tensions. That clarity came for me on
September 28, 2025, while listening to the CBC's Front Burner podcast episode titled "The secret to China’s dominance". The episode featured an interview with Dan Wang, author of the book "Breakneck: China's Quest to Engineer the Future".
Dan Wang, a tech analyst and research fellow at Stanford University's Hoover History Lab, is among the top China experts today. In Breakneck, he
argues that China's rise in the 21st century stems largely from its identity as an "engineering state," whereas the U.S. is characterized as a more "lawyerly"
society that sometimes hampers its own progress. The discussion delves into what this means, its broader implications, and whether the U.S. has any realistic
chance to close the gap.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNK3vNg13XA (1:03:18 - Ross Douthat
interview with Dan Wang)
quote: China didn't steal American jobs. American manufacturers exported American jobs to China in order to increase investor profit
comment: Biden wasn't a lawyer but did have a lot of Yale law school graduates in the White House. Biden's VP, Kamala Harris, was a
lawyer before she entered politics. Trump isn't a lawyer but he is taking advice from lawyers which includes appointing RFK Jr (an environmental lawyer with no training whatsoever in health sciences) to run HHS which oversees twenty other organizations including the CDC additionally:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UqBa0hBAQBA (1:05:45 - Why Trump Could Lose His
Trade War With China | Ezra Klein interview with Thomas Friedman) quote: "Hire Clowns, expect a circus"
This is something I read on Quora. I re-posted it here as
food-for-thought (to help find some middle between east and west so humanity can avoid military conflict)
Question: Why did communism fail everywhere except in China?
Response: A famous political joke goes as such:
The American came to two roads that lead to 2 places. One sign reads “communism”, and the other one read “capitalism”, and went straight to “capitalism”.
Stalin came around, and went straight to “Communism”.
Then Chairman Deng came around, switched the signs, and went towards the one that read “Communism”.
The truth about The Market, is that neither totally free or totally controlled market would ever work. The U.S.S.R. and the U.S. have proven that. Completely
free markets result in Social Darwinism: the rich get richer, and the poor get poorer. Completely controlled markets lead to the opposite of control: complete
hunger and lower life standards. China took the road down the middle. It’s hard, for anybody, or China, in this case. Economics has never been easy. China is
currently carefully balancing between “control” and “free market”. A slight lean towards one side may cause a lot of problems.
Quote: Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from
those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its
laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children. The cost of one modern heavy bomber is this: a modern brick school in more than 30 cities. It
is two electric power plants, each serving a town of 60,000 population. It is two fine, fully equipped hospitals. It is some fifty miles of concrete pavement. We
pay for a single fighter with a half-million bushels of wheat. We pay for a single destroyer with new homes that could have housed more than 8,000 people. This is
not a way of life at all, in any true sense. Under the cloud of threatening war, it is humanity hanging from a cross of iron.
Learn how the stoicism writings of the Roman Emperor Marcus
Aurelius (121 to 180 AD) can help modern people navigate a seemingly complex world https://hiddenbrain.org/podcast/you-2-0-the-wisdom-of-stoicism/ (50
minute audio) comment: Star Trek fans love the Mr. Spock character for his logical mind and calm demeanor, but few realize that the Vulcan practice of
emotional suppression was actually a clever literary device designed to embody the principles of Stoicism.
Learn howneoliberalism was created by Milton Friedman in America after Reader's Digest (the largest
American magazine publisher at the time with 8 million subscribers) published an oversimplified abridged edition of an English translation of The Road to Serfdom by Friedrich Hayek. This abridged view
(which Hayek did not support) was then popularized by presidents: Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H Bush, and Bill Clinton. What Make's Us Free? The Invisible Hand? https://www.npr.org/2025/07/10/1255443727/what-makes-us-free-07-10-2025
(49-minute listen)
What's the role of government in society? What do we mean when we talk about individual responsibility? What makes us free? 'Neoliberalism' might feel like a
squishy term that's hard to define and understand. But this ideology, founded by a group of men in the Swiss Alps, is a political project that has dominated our
economic system for decades. In the name of free market fundamentals, the forces behind neoliberalism act like an invisible hand, shaping almost every aspect of
our lives. reference:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mont_Pelerin_Society
(who knew?) comments: when every member of society, including the politicians, overly support a market economy, the result is a market society. At this
point there will be no noticeable difference between the political parties. (and there isn't)
This 1980 quote by author-educator Isaac Asimov (PhD Biochemistry) perfectly describes modern life in 2025 where citizens
are misinformed by social media websites, or politically biased news outlets. The graphic reads:
"There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there always has been. The strain of anti-intellectualism has been a
constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "my ignorance
is just as good as your knowledge."
Isaac Asimov (Newsweek, 21 January 1980)
In his 1988 book "Isaac Asimov’s Book of Science and Nature Quotations" he wrote: "The saddest aspect of life right now is that science gathers knowledge
faster than society gathers wisdom."
Neil deGrasse Tyson on Trump's War on Science
(1) Addressing the NASA Budget Cutshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VGownA1pSps (2) Post from 2017: https://neildegrassetyson.com/commentary/2017-04-21-science-in-america/ quote: The creation of the NSF (National
Science Foundation) deserves some exposition. It was inspired by the 1945 report Science: The Endless Frontier. Written by Truman’s science advisor, Vannevar Bush, the report compellingly argues for government-funded science as a driver of our wealth, our health, and our security. He
further notes, “A nation which depends on others for its new basic scientific knowledge will be slow in its industrial progress and weak in its competitive
position in world trade, regardless of its mechanical skill.” Bush also observed, “In 1939 millions of people were employed in industries which did not even exist
at the close of the last war.” America in the 20th century would become the world’s largest economy, leading in every important category of innovation and
production. comment: Vannevar Bush is a distant cousin of presidents George H W Bush and George W Bush.
Herodotus explains how to become a tyrant in 5 easy steps. https://www.cbc.ca/listen/live-radio/1-23-ideas/clip/16093242-herodotus-eros-tyranny
(53 min)
Looking back about 3,000 years, the playbook on authoritarianism remains pretty much the same as it is today. Back in the 5th century BCE, when Herodotus traveled
the ancient world gathering stories, he became an expert in would-be tyrants. His groundbreaking tome, simply called The History, shared vivid descriptions of
autocratic and tyrannical rulers. Herodotus was a rule breaker himself. He ignored Greek literary tradition and captured history as accurately as possible from a
wide range of sources. One of his many prescient observations was how, given the right circumstances, a political strongman can emerge and seize control — a
forewarning for us today.
This episode of THROUGHLINE explains how the Alvarez
Hypothesis (proposed extinction mechanism of the dinosaurs 66 million year ago) led to the Nuclear
Winter Hypothesis (which would happen if any thermonuclear conflict ever occurred) https://www.npr.org/2025/03/13/1238261970/winter-is-coming
This story includes the scientists that tried to take the West back from the brink of Thermonuclear War including: Lois Alvarez, Walter Alvarez, Richard Turco,
Brian Toon and Carl Sagan quote: We thought if science people came up and said nuclear weapons are going to kill most of the people on the planet, that the major
political figures and politicians, the Department of Defense, would say, oh, my gosh, this is an important thing. We should do something about it. We were just as
naive as Luis Alvarez, who thought nuclear weapons would end wars. comment: this episode includes the bizarre political thinking that led to Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative also known as "SDI" or "Star Wars".
Pod cast: This program on anti-intellectualism makes the claim that "one in three Americans hold negative opinions about
intellectuals" which explains a lot: https://www.npr.org/2025/01/27/1263526975/its-been-a-minute-draft-anti-intellectualism-ally-louks-smell comment: in a 2016 speech Trump said "we love the poorly educated" comment (2025-01-31): An executive order from Donald Trump this week:
1) instructs all doctors and scientists working at the FDA (Food and Drug Administration) and NIH (National Institute of Health) to "stop publishing research
papers" and "to stop traveling to conferences to share research."
2) The CDC (Center for Disease Control) can no longer publish a "weekly morbidity mortality report" which it had been doing every week for the past 70 years.
3) The NSF (National Science Foundation) freezes
payments in response to Trump's executive actions. comment (2025-02-01): While in secondary school, we learned that democracy, more often then not, will provide a country with the
"government that it deserves" rather than "the government it needs". I do not know why so many Americans voted for Trump 2.0 but now expect that the American
public will "get what it deserves".
The Greenhouse Effect, as it applies to global warming, was first made popular by Alexander Graham Bell in 1914
Bell used the term "greenhouse effect" in 1914. However, the phrase was first used by English physicist John Henry Poynting in 1909, who referred to the
"blanketing effect" of air pollution as the "'greenhouse effect' of the atmosphere".
Bell was concerned about the abuse of nature and the world's consumption of natural resources. He predicted that the world's supplies would run dry.
Bell advocated for replacing coal and oil with cleaner forms of energy, such as alcohol and solar power. He suggested that alcohol could be manufactured
cheaply from corn stalks, weeds, waste products, and even city garbage. He also sketched rooftop devices for collecting solar power.
Global Warming:An Inconvenient History https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGtAilkWTtI comment: another very informativevideo on the history of the science of climate change (1754 to present)
Quote: “The thing the ecologically illiterate don't realise about an ecosystem is that it's a system. A system! A system
maintains a certain fluid stability that can be destroyed by a misstep in just one niche. A system has order, flowing from point to point. If something dams that
flow, order collapses. The untrained might miss that collapse until it was too late. That's why the highest function of ecology is the understanding of
consequences.”
Once upon a time, General Motors developed an experimental electric automobile known as the General Motors EV1. Only 1,117 were manufactured between 1996 and 1999, but they were only available to lease, not to purchase. A few years
later, nearly all were recalled by GM then crushed (not certain about that business decision here since people demanded to buy them, but GM said no.) GM went on
to make a ton of money selling gas guzzler Trucks, Hummers, and SUVs. Meanwhile, GM's partners at the time (Toyota, Nissan and Honda) continued development of
both electric and hybrid technologies. It now appears that BYD (China - 2003) and Tesla (USA - 2008) were both created in response to GM's cancellation of the EV1. It is difficult to feel remorse for GM's loss of
market-share which was totally caused by their short-sighted business decisions. Perhaps GM execs should be forced to read Aesop's Fable titled The Tortoise and the Hare (where sleep would be replaced with hubris).
CO2 still rising: Facts: Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere warms the planet, causing climate change. Human activities have
raised the atmosphere’s carbon dioxide content by 50% in less than 200 years. https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/carbon-dioxide/ Note: the 2024 summer peak hit 426.91 ppm. The 2024 peak hit at least 429 ppm.
Debunking a climate denier's video:
Titled: All the errors and fakery from “Climate: The Movie (The Cold Truth)” that I can fit in. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HhAX42dT09w
The math behind weather predication and climate models. At Science Friday Live in Boulder, Colorado, Ira sat down
with two NCAR scientists, Dr. Yaga Richter and Dr. Jerry Meehl about their work in this field. program-page:https://www.sciencefriday.com/segments/weather-predictions-in-advance-earth-system-predictions/ audio-only:https://scifri-segments.s3.amazonaws.com/scifri202408094.mp3 excerpt: Well, when you talk about Earth system prediction, you have to go back to the 1980s, really. And that’s when we started
using these, what we call Earth system models, or climate models. And in the ’80s, we had components of atmosphere, ocean, land, and sea ice. And these were
basically computer programs that would communicate with each other. And these computer programs are sets of equations from physics, and thermodynamics, and fluid
dynamics. And for those of you who were forced to take calculus, the core equations in these models are partial differential equations. So you can
numerically and mathematically integrate them forward in time. So that’s how we make predictions with equations. And I still can’t believe it works, but it
does actually work. (read: the full transcript)
Every curious person would most likely enjoy this 2020 lecture by James Burke titled "Internet Knowledge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gvIy52kX-uU comment: I suspect he is excluding social media :-)
Did you know that the first Earth Day was in 1970? No? Then listen to this.
In 1755, an earthquake struck Lisbon, Portugal, on November 1 (all saints day). Most of the Christian community were
inside cathedrals at the time, so many were killed (those not inside were spared). To make matters worse, the resulting tsunami killed even more (death and
destruction was limited to ocean-side cities). It is thought that the total death toll exceeded 30,000 people. European philosophers of the time, including Voltaire, wondered why the Christian god didn't delay the quake until the day after. This philosophical thought contributed to both The Enlightenment and Deism
Why stupidityis an existential threat: quote: It may sound like an insensitive statement, but the cold hard truth is that there are a lot of stupid people in the world, and their stupidity
presents a constant danger to others. Some of these people are in positions of power, and some of them have been elected to run our country. A far greater number
of them do not have positions of power, but they still have the power to vote, and the power to spread their ideas. We may have heard of “collective
intelligence,” but there is also “collective stupidity,” and it is a force with equal influence on the world. It would not be a stretch to say that at this point
in time, stupidity presents an existential threat to America because, in some circles, it is being celebrated. Read full article here1, here2,
or here3
Sea level rate-of-rise continues: quote: Global mean sea level (GMSL) continued to rise in 2022, reaching a new record high for the satellite altimeter record (1993-2022). The rate
of global mean sea level rise has doubled between the first decade of the satellite record (1993-2002: 2.27
mm/yr) and the last (2013-2022: 4.62 mm/yr). Read the full article here comments:
using tide-gauge measurements by the British navy (starting in the 1600s), we know that average sea level rose 20-cm (8-inches) between 1890 and 1990
we now know that the recent rate of sea level rise measurements from satellites represents a tripling compared to the average from
1901-1971. References: here1 and here2
the second average above would result in 46 cm per century (or 18 inches), and the rate is still increasing. The problems of Venice Italy today could be a
foretelling of the problems of American ports tomorrow.
An existential crisisfor human biology after 2040: quote: In 1974, two American doctors published a report showing that human sperm counts had dropped more than 50% between 1951 and
1971. A meta-analysis published in 2017, based upon data from 185 studies of more than 42,000 men between 1973 and 2011, showed that sperm health seemed to be falling at a rate of around 1.5 per cent per year on average, and that this could represent an existential reproduction crisis for humanity
after 2040. Continuing reading: newscientist.com comments:
This does not mean that human reproduction will end after 2040, but it might mean the end of natural reproduction. One immediately thinks of the back
stories behind Brave New World or The Handmaids' Tale
Since the article also mentions similar drops in animals (dogs) I am tempted to think this continual drop since 1950 might be due to environmental
pollution. One immediately thinks of the 1968 novel Do Androids Dream of
Electric Sheep? (which was the basis for the Blade Runner movie). BTW, the
book was released six years after Rachel Carson published Silent Spring
As an aside, over the decades I have always wondered about the increase in people who now identify as non-heterosexual. Industrial pollution may be a
factor. For example, I just learned that Cadmium can be estrogenic which causes me to wonder what happened to all those NiCad (Nickel Cadmium) batteries we
discarded in land fills.
If the prime mover has triggered some sort of emergency shutoff switch to avert overpopulation, then I'm sure we could all agree that the land grabs in
Ukraine and Palestine now appear absurd.
When it comes to guns, the USA appears to be the most violent of all Western democracies (they have 4% of the world
population but 40% of the world's guns). Americans justify their gun violence because they share a very pessimistic view of human nature. But this recent podcast
When Things Fall Apart (54 min) mentions that this
pessimistic view originates with Alexander Hamilton in the Federalist Papers,
written between 1787 and 1788. If Americans educators continue propagate this material then it will contribute to another generation of violence.
includes a discussion of Thomas Hobbes whose 1651 book, Leviathan,
was known to educated people like Hamilton. BTW, Hobbes book (and philosophy) was used to justify British colonialism which we now know was wrong (at least
through modern eyes)
Blame Reagan for distrust of science by Craig
Wallace - I have puzzled over the quite odd (in my mind) distrust of science and experts among politicians on the political right and their supporters. This
is most evident when we look at the COVID-19 pandemic and climate change. As the world endured COVID, I was dumbfounded by the (at times,) fury and disdain
directed by right-wing politicians such as former U.S. president Donald Trump and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre at public health figures such as Dr. Teresa
Tam in Canada and Dr. Anthony Fauci in the United States. In Canada we saw former Alberta conservative premier Jason Kenney declaring Alberta “open for business”
(against medical advice) in May 2021, when COVID was still rampant. By August 2021, Alberta hospitals were literally staggering under the strain of treating COVID
patients, and some patients had to be sent to other provinces for care. In the U.S. in 2020 we saw Trump flouting mask mandates, bellowing “liberate Michigan”
(from public health mandates). Hard to imagine a responsible, rational, nation’s leader encouraging people to ignore medical advice. Then in 2022 Poilievre openly
embraced the “Freedom Convoys” which advocated for the end of all public health mandates. These are just a few examples. What we didn’t see, (as far as I am aware
of) are left-wing or “progressive” politicians questioning the medical science behind pandemic measures. (This doesn’t excuse the fact that some progressive
politicians appeared somewhat “lax” in enforcing lockdown and social distancing mandates during civil unrest at this time.) We have also seen distrust of science
with climate change. In the fall of 2022 the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) reported “In 2020, 88 per cent of Democrats agreed with scientific
findings that climate change was a major threat to the well-being of the United States, but only 31 per cent of Republicans thought so. Similarly, 94 per cent of
Democrats believe that the documented increase in global temperature is due to human activities (again, consistent with the scientific consensus), but only 69 per
cent of Republicans do.” In Canada, we see Poilievre vowing to abolish the carbon tax which is in fact a market-based solution that conservatives would normally
embrace to change unwanted behaviour. He refuses to provide Canadians with a science-based alternative. Former president Trump vows to “drill, drill, drill” (for
oil) on his first day back in office if he wins the 2024 election. Why does the right appear to distrust science? Certainly this hasn’t been a foundation of
conservative thought forever. Republican president Dwight Eisenhower embraced science to get America into the space race in the 1950s. He and Progressive
Conservative prime minister John Diefenbaker endorsed medical science as polio vaccines were distributed that same decade. What changed? I believe this
dates back to the 1980s and American president Ronald Reagan. He argued "government is not the solution to our problem, government is the problem." This has been
a “mantra” of the conservative movement ever since. But it is problematic. First, this implies one should not trust the government. Public health guidelines are
laid down by government officials — thus according to conservatives we shouldn’t trust them. That is what is being suggested here. It also implies that
governments are incompetent. Think about these further words from former president Reagan. “The nine scariest words in the English language are: I’m from the
government, and I’m here to help.” If you truly believe that, are you thus inclined to accept advice or instructions from government medical experts? And if
conservatives followed this advice would they not be repudiating their core beliefs? It appears that many conservatives are trapped in a flawed ideology that does
not allow them to respond rationally to serious crises. It isn’t logical to embrace a philosophy that may very well lead to death. Conservatives should look to
their past and rethink some of their core beliefs.
Is Doug Ford's business casefor the Ontario Science Center just another poorly conceived plan? Read the original
article at
the Toronto Star (authored by the ex-CEO of the OSC) comments: what is it with Ford and his supporters? Conservatives claim to be fiscally responsible and yet the Ford government has allowed
Ontario's debt to exceed 406 billion while refusing to
collect automobile fuel taxes and license renewal fees. To make matters worse, his spending and borrowing now exceed those of his Liberal predecessors, McGuinty and Wynne. Click here to read more.
Electoral Reform.
This chart uses Canada as an example of what
went wrong in 2015 where Liberal votes (39%) were over-represented in parliament while all others (61%) were underrepresented. Notice that on the world
stage, not a single democracy formed, or reformed, since world-war-2 has selected first-past-the-post. Many countries adopted Proportional Representation
University of Waterloo professor, Byron Weber Becker, has published a set of computer
simulations based upon historical voting statistics. These simulations indicate that the Alternative Vote (AV) scheme used in Australia is worse than first-past-the-post. caveat: note that Alternative Vote is just first-past-the-post with ranked ballots. BTW, this scheme was used in Alberta approximately 100 years ago.
History shows that costly errors are usually associated with majority wins because fewer people are involved in decision making.
Food-for-thought: British politicians of all parties agreed to quietly work together under Churchill during WW2. Everything went well (politically speaking)
until the end of the war when party bickering resumed. If Britain had adopted proportional representation, then I suspect:
Britain would have applied to join the EU in 1952 rather than 1962 (entry was delayed until 1973 for reasons discussed here)
More than 100 years ago, the majority of voters were barely educated, so they needed to send an educated representative to the nation's capital. Since the
majority of today's voters are better educated, I wonder if sending a representative to the capital (where they fall under the influence of the party whip to
vote the party line) is still necessary.
Fifty years ago, when manufacturing was still a thing, the 'business class' usually voted conservative while the 'working middle class' usually voted labor.
Since then, 'millionaires and billionaires' (a.k.a. the one percent) have hijacked conservative politics, then tricked the working class into supporting many
right-wing causes which includes flat taxes, lower taxes, and austerity.
A few thoughts on Education. First off, you might wish to listen to this NPR podcast which explains how government-sponsored education transformed China from a very backward country to a modern juggernaut caveat: this history ends with Mao so does not contain any information from the second educational wave instituted by Deng Xiaoping which I personally witnessed in Boston more than 40 years ago while training as a computer engineer comments: If you agree with me that an educated society is the primary factor in becoming/remaining relevant in the modern world, then:
why do western governments institute austerity programs to defund public education? (the father of economics, Adam Smith, advocated "government sponsored"
education for all, including the working class who were unable to afford to educate themselves)
why do western governments support sectarian (religious-based) education which includes home schooling?
this is only desirable if you want to produce a society of priests and nuns.
won't all sectarian students eventually become wards of the state? (look to modern day Israel to see and example of this)
shouldn't religious education only be done on church property?
What happened to the separation between church and state?
why do western governments allow investors to make huge amounts of money on student loans, which only serve to temper higher levels of education? (perhaps
"education" and "health care" should be run without capitalism's market-place incentives)
related:
Sal Khan of
Khan Academy on 'How I Built This' (42-min) speaks about using A.I. to help teachers educate students. This is not a magic bullet for funding
education since it requires all students to have access to an internet-connected computer. But it could provide the equivalent of a personalized tutor.
Advanced Placement (many times just known as "AP") for providing
opportunities to capable students.
I have come to the conclusion that the economists running national banks have no clue as to what they are doing. First an aside: Last year as I drove my automobile out of a parking lot, I stepped on the brake pedal but nothing happened. I then applied
much more force which achieved the desired result. Next, I slowly drove to a mechanic who informed me that while my front brakes were working, my back brakes were
totally shot (rust had eaten though the hydraulic brake lines). Three cheers for dual brake systems! Now back to the economics: Many national banks are trying to control of inflation by raising the prime lending rate (they hope that a small
artificial recession will allow them to regain control of the economy). Unlike my automobile example, national banks have applied the metaphoric brake pedal
numerous times but have not achieved the desired result, so they dither for a time, read their tea leaves, then try again. As of May-2023, American bankers have tried this ten times but none have asked the question: "what has changed to prevent this interest rate rise from
working?" IMHO they are overlooking the obvious: "they think" there is only one meaningful money supply (theirs) but overlook the fact that huge pools of capital
exist in corporations. Here are two: (1) Some North American automobile manufacturers are offering 1.5% interest rate loans (on the full Manufacture's Suggested
Retail Price) which are more than 5% lower than a rate from a bank. (2) Many larger American companies (who pay little-to-no taxes because they see themselves as
multi-nationals) are sitting on huge pools of off-shore capital which is moved in-and-out of the economy, irrespective of the prime lending rate. BTW, some of
these companies have trillion dollar valuations
making them bigger than most banana republics. Anyway, permit me to state the obvious: huge companies, not paying their taxes while sitting on a lot of offshore
cash was almost unheard of thirty years ago. That was a time when the common citizen only used the word million. My worry: In the book Capital in the Twenty First Century (a modern
reinterpretation of Adam Smith) the author informs that the fundamental principle of capitalism is to provide 5% annual return on investment. This is always in
the back of my mind whenever I hear that a bank intends to raise interest rates above 5% (USA, Britain, and Canada are already higher) But what of the housing dilemma? High interest rates affect the whole economy which includes builders. I suspect very few construction projects (homes,
apartments, condos) will be started when interest rates are high, and might go higher
Sea Level Rise is rising faster (one proof of global warming)
Global mean sea level has risen 254 millimeters
(10 inches) since 1880 and continues to do so
at 4.7 mm (0.185 inches) per year.
the 2025 "satellite measured" rate of rise is: 4.7 mm per year.
multiplying by 100 yields 470 mm (47 cm or 18.5 inches) per century if the rate was not rising.
recall that distance over time is known as velocity (or speed); and that an increase in velocity over time is known as acceleration. Since the "rate of sea
level rise" (speed) is increasing then we can correctly say that sea level rise is accelerating (much worse than simply increasing)
this measurement is vertical, but beaches are sloped which will result in much more flooding during high tides and storm surges.
1964 quote from Rachel Carson: “We live in an age of rising
seas. In our own lifetime we are witnessing a startling alteration of climate.”
POLIDIOT (political idiot) is a label applicable to both citizens and politicians who insist their "political opinion" is
superior to "empirical fact" (this includes politicians who advocate for cryptocurrenices). To those people I present this quote from 1936:
"The ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are right and when they are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly understood. Indeed,
the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some
defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back. There are not
many who are influenced by new theories after they are twenty-five or thirty years of age, so that the ideas which civil servants and
politicians and even agitators apply to current events are not likely to be the newest."
comment: no one "likes" the idea of printing up money, but you would not like the alternative. Recall that very little was done after the
crash of 1929; this resulted in a decade of hobos (homeless men looking for work), soup
kitchens, and people wearing signs reading "will work for food"
Two decades of misinformation and COVID-19 Misinformation 1: The
Republican-dominated US Congress of 1987 eliminated the FCC Fairness Doctrine
citing a violation of the right to free-speech by corporations (did the framers of the constitution ever intend corporations to have the same rights as people?)
This enabled politically biased outlets, like Fox News (Cable TV) and Rush Limbaugh (Syndicated Radio), to play fast and loose with the truth. Americans today
seem unaware of the fact that one-sided political propaganda in Germany triggered world-war-2 Misinformation 2: Since the rise of the world-wide-web (1991)
and mobile social media (2007) society has witnessed an ever
increasing amount of bad science from non-experts on both sides of the political spectrum (vaccine
hesitancy is one example). As advertising revenue moved online, many print publishers went out of business which triggered societal problems. Recall that newspapers could be sued under libel laws for publishing misinformation, so they employed editors and journalists to provide "best effort
reporting" of "best-effort fact-checked information". Internet media sites are protected from lawsuits under Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act (created in 1996 to help start internet businesses) so they check nothing which allows
them to cut costs by eliminating jobs (even though they are incredibly rich and pay virtually zero taxes) Comments: Herbert Spencer published Principles of Biology in 1864 which is the first book containing the phrase Survival
of the Fittest. We now live in the age of Survival of
the Smartest which requires every citizen to be able to separate "fact from fiction", or "fact from political opinion", or "fact from religious dogma".
Since many people are unable or unwilling to do this, then many are going to die prematurely. Thinking they are "politically right" will result is many
becoming "dead wrong". Now click
COVID-19 deaths by country then click top-of-the column "Deaths/1 million" to reorder the table by that metric. Why did the USA (rank=15)
do so badly compared with their neighbors Mexico (39) and Canada (82)? Could this have anything to do with the fact that a modern interpretation of the American
first amendment right to free speech, as it applies to billionaire big tech companies (Twitter, Facebook, Threads, YouTube, etc.) protects the dissemination of
misinformation?
Half of us are as dumb as rocks
I enjoy listening to the CBC radio program Under The Influence which
tells advertising industry stories. Episode S10E14
compares the marketing success of the McDonald's Quarter Pounder with the marketing
failure of the A&W Third of a Pounder. During post-failure analysis, marketers discovered that more than half the people in
the focus groups were confused about which was the better deal. Consumers genuinely thought McDonald's was the better deal because they believed that a quarter
pound was more than a third of a pound, because 4 is larger than 3. comment: makes we wonder how much of our Neanderthal DNA is active. Please think about this the next time you decided to pontificate on
subjects like politics, the economy and vaccines.
Commenting on Huawei: It appears to me that western society only supports capitalism "when the west wins". When a Chinese
company, like Huawei, becomes the next Nortel, then ridiculous conspiracy theories are
invoked. Huawei was one of many companies that bid on the sale of Nortel's intellectual property, as did Apple, Microsoft, Sony, RIM (Blackberry), Google and others. Huawei was not one of the winners which
forced it to increase its own R&D operations (estimates put Huawei R&D in 2019 at a massive 40% of net income) so it should come at no surprise that
Huawei is 18-24 months ahead of their competition in the field of 5G wireless. Simple logic shows that Huawei could only achieve parity if they were stealing I/P.
Did I mention that their 5G hardware is 90% less expensive than anything from their competition?
food-for-thought: according to the 2022 book Chip War, Huawei employed 100 IBM
consultants for more than a decade with the intent that "Huawei could operate with IBM efficiency"
Deng Xiaoping (pronounced "dung chow ping") once said "The Middle East has its oil, China has
rare earth". Since modern electronics is dependent upon rare-earth materials then it should be no surprise that Chinese-made electronics is much less
expensive. Speaking of Deng for a moment, in 1985 I was attending school in Boston where it appeared to me that Chinese students were everywhere. Apparently, Deng
had sent 1.3 million Chinese students out into the world to receive a top-quality western education paid for by China (one of my more-gifted Chinese classmates
was accompanied by "two minders" who were there to ensure that he returned to China). Unlike Mao, Deng saw great value in education and realized that this was the
best way forward for China. Thirty-five years later, China has moved more than 350 million Chinese citizens from poverty into the middle class. This number is
greater than the total population of the USA so is it any surprise that China is doing well? Meanwhile, there is a tendency amongst some westerners to label "an
educated person" as "an elite". It seems to me that the world has flipped.
Our culture is awash in lies, dominated by streams of never-ending electronic hallucinations that merge fact and fiction until
they are indistinguishable. We have become the most illusioned society on earth. Politics is a species of endless and meaningless political theater. Politicians
have morphed into celebrities. Our two ruling parties are, in reality, one party - the corporate party. And those who attempt to puncture this vast, breathless
universe of fake news, designed to push through the cruelty and exploitation of the neoliberal order, are pushed so far to the margins of society, including by a
public broadcasting system that has sold its soul for corporate money, that we might as well be mice squeaking against an avalanche, but squeak we MUST
A conservative friend of mine was fond of asking me political questions (I am a centrist) then would cut me off mid-sentence before I
finished answering. Apparently, he was the only conservative among his family of brothers, sisters and parents, but had no problem thinking he was right (er,
correct) while they were wrong. How could this be? This thought rattled around in my mind until I stumbled across a book titled The
Republican Brain which was positively reviewed by liberals and conservatives alike. The book contains several points which I will pass along here:
Size differences in two brain structures, the amygdala (larger in conservatives) and
the anterior cingulate (larger in liberals), bias human perspective of
the world.
Conservatives see most issues as "black-and-white" (or good-and-evil) and are more pessimistic while liberals see "shades of gray" and are generally more
optimistic.
Conservatives are more fearful of others so are more easily encouraged to vote for POPULIST issues like "building the wall" or BREXIT (funny point: Britain
had the lowest number of per-capita immigrants but had the highest political reaction against them)
Conservatives play politics as a team sport so will almost always "vote their party" while Liberals will split their vote choosing alternate parties (not
very smart in a first-past-the -post electoral system)
When I was a student, I read an English translation of The
Road to Serfdom by Friedrich Hayek. Then I later heard Margret Thatcher using
the book to bash socialism, I wondered if she was reading a different translation (Hayek only published in German) since her quotes bore little resemblance to
Hayek's book (was Thatcher paraphrasing?). Anyway, when Hayek slams socialism, he is referring to state-sponsored collectivism which is not the same thing as
practiced (in one form or another) by most countries of the world except the USA. I recently stumbled onto this Hayek article titled Why I am Not a Conservative (excerpted from a 1960 book titled The Constitution of Liberty). I wonder if Thatcher knew about this.
When I attended college in the early 1970s, many students seemed to be talking about Ayn Rand or quoting from her magnum opus Atlas Shrugged. Years
later I finally got around to reading the book which left me with these thoughts:
Like George Orwell (1984) Ayn Rand knows how to tell a fictional dystopian story
Rand's character John Galt seems to be a kinder (although equally ridiculous) version
of Orwell's character Big Brother
1984 (which Orwell claimed is really about 1948 England) was published in 1949 while Atlas Shrugged was published in 1957 so perhaps this tells us
something about the zeitgeist of those years
Ayn Rand seemed to project a naive (childish?) view of industry vs government regulation. Did she really think that corporations would never do anything
evil? Had she lived longer I would have loved to hear her ATTEMPT to defend the actions of the Big Tobacco for knowing the numerous health hazards associated
with the use of their product then hiding them in order to make a buck; or that EXXON knew as early as 1977 that the burning of fossil fuels would cause
climate change (they hid these reports then hired retired scientists working for politically motivated think thanks to deny such a thing was possible). It is
possible that these large companies got the inspiration to do this from Rand's description of the fictional "State Science Institute" which was low on science
while high on politics. I wonder if people who read this book are also skeptical of science and vaccines.
Feb-2022: I noticed that Atlas Shrugged had been made into a three-part movie currently available on Amazon Prime Video. I watched
them all in order; what a waste of my time; it was like a train wreck that I could not stop watching. Part 1 was okay; part 2 was corny; part 3 was just bad. BTW,
my comments have nothing to do with the actors or set designers for these productions (which were all done with different actors for some reason); my comments
have everything to do with the really bad childish story line that I thought would have repaired for life this side of Y2K; There must be something wrong with the
human species when anyone takes this stuff seriously. Jan-2023: I just heard this pod-cast about Ayn Rand on NPR: https://www.npr.org/2022/12/22/1145107911/the-monster-of-we-2021
comment: People who see the world through the prism of politics (or see the world in black + white) will love this. People who see the world in shades of gray may
not.
"2001: A Space Odyssey"
A mysterious monolith awakens the imagination of humanity's distant ancestors. A second monolith awaits humanity's giant leap to the moon. And in orbit around
Jupiter, a third monolith beckons humanity to transcend beyond the limits of body and machine.
"All forces in the universe are mediated by particle exchange"
This Feynman Diagram describing "electron repulsion" depicts the movement of two
electrons (1-to-3 and 2-to-4) in space and time. A virtual photon transfers energy between them (5-to-6) causing them to repel each other. To learn more:
1) brief explanation
2) detailed explanation Legend: Y-Axis (up-down) is time while X-Axis (left-right) is space
Thomas
Paine (1737-1809) wrote about many modern topics including "racial equality" (he proposed "abolishing slavery" 100 years before Lincoln). The following
three titles are a "must read" for all modern citizens:
1) Common Sense (1776) associated with the American Revolution
2) Rights of Man (1791) associated with the French Revolution
3) The Age of Reason (1794) associated with the Enlightenment Part-1
was written in France while under arrest and awaiting the guillotine. Part-2 was written in 1796.
Adam Smith (1723-1790) professor of "moral philosophy" (economist) developed economic
theories with the intent of redistributing wealth to workers about to be displaced by the industrial revolution.
1759 The Theory of Moral Sentiments
1776 The Wealth of Nations
Anyone reading these books will wonder how one author produced two versions of capitalism (American capitalism favors the shareholder while European capitalism
also favors the stakeholder). On top of that, Americans attribute many things to Adam Smith which are not found in his books (the 'invisible hand' is mentioned
only once in a revised edition of WoN). I wonder what Smith would think about 'hedge funds' and 'activist investors'? related: watch this interview with the author of the 2023 book
Adam Smith's America